What is more important: precision or accuracy?

I have just uploaded our autonomous precision error estimation Swiss conference paper to the new UMass/Amherst Digital Repository. I work at the Aerial Imaging and Remote Sensing Lab at UMass/Amherst. For years, Howard Schultz has been doubling the number of Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) his Terrest system makes by using the fact that computer stereo matching algorithms are not symmetric in their inputs. The paper above proves mathematically that this is indeed correct and possible if the correlation between DEMs is sparse, i.e. only a few of the DEMs are highly correlated.

We are now writing a proposal to further this work by connecting it with compressed sensing ideas as we briefly hint at the end of the paper above. This has got us thinking about the difference between precision and accuracy in measurement errors. Precision is the width of your error bars, accuracy is where the centroid of the measurement is located relative to the ‘true’ value. So if you had to choose between a precise and an accurate map, which one would you choose?

A precise map is one that captures the shape of the world very well, it has a lot of details. An accurate map is one that tells you where objects are located in the real world. An accurate but imprecise map is located correctly but it is very fuzzy. The landscape looks melted. A precise but inaccurate map is located wrong but has lots of detail — you tried to map a desert patch and the map says you mapped Paris (there is a caveat to this characterization — horizontal correlation — that I don’t want to get into in this post). The practical significance of this difference is enormous. A precise but inaccurate map is just a rigid body transformation and a scale change of the real world (3 + 3 + 1 = 7 unknown parameters) that can be fixed by measuring 3 ground control points (3 + 3 + 3 = 9 measurements). An imprecise but accurate map would require thousands of measurements to recover the detail lost in the fuzzy estimate. Therefore, precise maps are cheaper to make than accurate ones since measuring ground control points is a time consuming expensive task.

Furthermore, for some tasks, precision is all you really care about. For example, scientist Andrea Laliberte at the Jornada Experimental Range in south-central New Mexico is interested in classifying invasive species in the desert. For this task you need precision, not accuracy. Of course, if you wanted to bomb a particular shrub, you would want accuracy. My point is that precision is sometimes good enough and therefore you can sacrifice accuracy. Does this sound familiar?

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